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[Taxacom] possible covariates for corona virus virulence

Frederick W. Schueler bckcdb at istar.ca
Mon Feb 24 22:57:14 CST 2020


On 24-Feb.-20 10:20 p.m., Kenneth Kinman via Taxacom wrote:

> Even if the new coronavirus causes 5,000 or more deaths this year, it hardly compares with all those influenza deaths.

* this is a very Apples-&-Oranges kind of statement: comparing means 
when what's interesting is a comparisons of slopes. Influenza is 
everywhere, and we all have the chance to die from it every year. The 
new coronavirus is spreading from an initial point source, so while 
deaths from flu are pretty constant, mortality from the coronavirus will 
have gone from zero to thousands in a single year.

fred.
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